Crypto
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Model Points to $732,000 Per Coin
A Predictive Model with a Track Record
Bitcoin price can be unpredictable. But shockingly, a specific model managed to predict the peak in 2021 at above $60,000 as far back as 2019. That same model is now pointing to a peak range near $732,000 per coin. Is this a realistic estimate, or pure hope? Let’s take a closer look at the model and find out.
A More Accurate Model than Plan B's S2F
Back in 2019, the go-to model for predicting future Bitcoin pricing was Plan B’s now debunked Stock-To-Flow (S2F) model. But around the same time, Greg Cipolaro took a stab at modifying the S2F model with highly accurate results. While Plan B’s take failed to bring the price per BTC above the projected $100,000 or more, Cipolaro’s model nailed a peak range near $60,000.
What the Model is Based On
The model is based on post-halving supply reduction price targets. More importantly than what happened after the 2020 halving, however, is what Cipolaro’s model predicts after the next halving. While getting it right just one time per Cipolaro’s model is notable, it could be a matter of luck or coincidence. If the model works again, the higher the likelihood he’s onto something significant.
A Strikingly High Target
Especially when the next projected target is $732,000 per BTC. The target is much higher than most estimates out there, which point to between $100,000 and $200,000 per coin. This is roughly an 1,800% increase from current levels.
Bitcoin's History of Surges
From the Black Thursday low at $3,800 to the 2021 peak at $68,000 represents nearly a 1,600% return, so such numbers aren’t outside the realm of possibility for the king of crypto. During the year of 2017 alone, Bitcoin surged by over 2,000%. And this occurred after the price had appreciated by over 400% already. Today, Bitcoin is up 140% off 2022 lows. Could the top cryptocurrency by market cap add another 1,800% on top of that to reach the model’s predicted peak?
Hello, I’m Timothy Robinson, News Editor at NewsRoomFeed.com, where I turn the world’s chaos into digestible stories. Blessed with a journalism degree from UNT, I’ve been molding minds and spreading knowledge from the tranquil setting of Denver, CO.
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